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FY 2016 Results – Our top pick list – Map of Earnings

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FY 2016 Results – Our top pick list – Map of Earnings

FY 2016 Results: (By Manos Chatzidakis @Beta Sec)

As FY:16 results announcements conclude today (still pending some construction groups and few mid-caps) Greek listed companies improved their performance and delivered higher underlying profitability.

Operating margins improved by 210 basis points while excluding refineries margin enhancement reached 130 basis points. Profitable companies outnumbered loss making companies for the first time since 2008 as restructurings and cost containment started to pay back.

Various one offs have distorted bottom line however trends on significant economic sectors (banks, refineries, chemicals, transportation, retailers) indicate for a solid rebound despite unfavorable domestic demand –as it was recorded in 2016 GDP- and liquidity constraints due to capital controls.

Never before in the last 8 years was the overall picture in the underlying profitability so promising as quality factors provide a solid ground for recurring performance (exports, operating and interest cost, working capital cycle, cash in the balance sheet).

We reiterate our top pick list, which consists of Alpha Bank, Mytilineos Group, FFGroup, Aegean Air and Hellenic Telecoms.

FY:16 Map of Earnings: 

Distribution of Profitable/Loss making companies in ASE
p Profitable 99 q Loss 79
pp Profits Increase 39 qq Loss Increase 19
p Profits reduction 33 q Loss Reduction 52
M Turn around 27 L Loss Reverse 8
 

Listed Companies 2015 2016 Y-o-Y 2015 2016 Y-o-Y
EUR thous. FY FY (%) H2 H2 (%)
Sales 61,401.2 59,872.1      -2.5%  27,076.5 26,877.5 -0.7% 
EBITDA 7,277.2 8,335.0 14.5%  4,052.6 3,345.0 -17.5% 
EBITDA Mrg 11.9%  13.9%  +207 bps  15.0%  12.4%  -252 bps 
Net Income -6,827.6 1,246.9 118.3%  2,090.7 -2,778.2 -232.9% 
Net Income x-Financials 1,012.0 2,006.2 98.2%  364.4 1,057.9 190.3% 
Net Mrg 1.6%  3.4%  +170 bps  1.3%  3.9%  +259 bps 

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